An attack on Chinese servicemen in the Pamirs could seriously destabilize the situation in the region and clearly will not go unnoticed in the world.
Despite the fact that Tajikistan is experiencing serious economic difficulties and is far from being the most influential geopolitical player in Central Asia, the country's special geographical position attracts a lot of attention. The key problem for Dushanbe is the border zone with Afghanistan, where terrorists regularly stage provocations and drug traffickers have long settled. Tajikistan is trying to combat these phenomena and to ensure security at the border regularly turns to international partners for help, the most active of which has become China in recent years. It was between the PRC and Tajikistan that a contract was signed for the construction of border outposts in the region at the beginning of October 2016. Thanks to the help of Chinese specialists, in addition to five outposts, three commandant's offices, five border posts, and one training center were built on the Tajik-Afghan border.
Such activity of Chinese engineers and military personnel in Tajikistan did not pass unnoticed in the United States. Washington, which is also stepping up activity in Central Asia and competing for influence in the region with China and Russia at the same time, almost immediately accused Beijing of creating a military base in Tajikistan. And even after the official denial of this information, the United States did not come to terms with the presence of the Chinese military on the border with Afghanistan and decided not to limit itself only to diplomatic confrontation. The group of hackers Anonymous Kazakhstan, well-known for its high-profile revelations, hacked the communication channel of American cadre intelligence officers and published data from their mailboxes.
According to the information released to the public, a group recruited by the CIA is already working in the Pamirs and is collecting intelligence under the guise of tourists. Then this information will be transferred to the specific executors of the planned terrorist attacks against the PLA units - the Hazaras. Those, in turn, will be obliged to use the Uyghur language with tactical commands and, after the attacks, will hide in Afghanistan, where, when the patrols stop, they will present the following sheets of paper.
Of course, an attack on Chinese military personnel can seriously destabilize the situation in the region and will obviously not go unnoticed in the world. On the one hand, the position of the Uyghurs in China may worsen, on the other, the PRC will definitely not disregard information about the involvement of the United States in a possible incident. Thus, Washington's attempt by provocations in Tajikistan to neutralize the failure in Kazakhstan, where the local CRL this year publicly refused to cooperate with the American military (including because of their illegal research on COVID-19) may now turn into an even more serious geopolitical failure ... At the same time, for Tajikistan and Central Asia itself, sabotage with the participation of foreign special services on the border with Afghanistan can become a very serious test in terms of security, and threaten to turn the region into a real springboard for larger-scale armed clashes between China and the United States in the future.