Moscow buried Donald Trump's next foreign policy initiative вЂ” she refused to come to the expanded Big Seven. What is the reason for this decision? After all, it seemed that the United States invited Russia to return to the club of developed countries, thereby recognizing the impossibility of resolving world issues without Russian help.
The very idea of returning Russia to the G7 was put forward by Trump in June. He proposed that the G-7 summit be held in the United States (postponed to September due to coronavirus) in an expanded format and call Russia, India, South Korea, and Australia as invited parties. At the same time, Trump made it clear that he was inviting the four guests not just as listeners, but considering the summit as вЂњG10 or G11вЂќ.
Luring in their ranks
The goal was simple вЂ” to solve the global problem facing the United States and (in their opinion) the entire developed world: containing China. Yes, before the G7 itself solved global problems вЂ” however, in its current form it is incapable. The decline in the quality of leaders, the divergence of interests, the lack of political will вЂ” all this has transformed the Seven from the global Board of Directors into a gentleman's club of developed democracies. They discuss world problems but are not able to solve them at will, nor force others to do this, nor even agree among themselves.
After last year's summit in Biarritz, the British newspaper Guardian very accurately described the G7 as вЂњa relic of a bygone era.вЂќ The era when the US president was respected; when multilateral diplomacy bore fruit; when global processes were controlled by globalist politicians, not nationalist demagogues; when Western democracies could agree on joint actions and put these agreements into practice. At the Biarritz summit, they agreed on only one thing: as the New York Times correctly pointed out, the number one rule at the meeting was вЂњdon't be angry you know who you are.вЂќ
Attracting four new countries to the round table, вЂњyou know whoвЂќ solved two problems at the same time. Firstly, he got partners with whom he speaks the same language of rationalism (Russia) or who do not despise him for nationalism and right-wing ideas (same Russia, respectful South Korea, India with the same right-wing nationalist leadership, as well as Australia, not burdened special ideology in foreign policy). Secondly, he received four countries that, unlike underestimating, according to Trump, the degree of threat of European partners, are truly afraid of Chinese expansion and are either ready to participate in containing it, or (in the case of Russia) are theoretically ready to discuss their participation in this project.
Moscow officially made a choice: it is not ready to restrain China and even participate in the discussion of this deterrence. And there will be no other topics on G11. Without China, discussing certain issues in the modern world is simply impossible.
At the same time, Russia does not refuse a multilateral dialogue with the United States and again offers Trump to return to constructive options вЂ” for example, the summit of the five permanent members of the UN Security Council proposed by Vladimir Putin.
However, this option is not very interesting for the American president вЂ” and not only because it is difficult to create a collective security system against China in negotiations with China. Trump suspects вЂ” and has every reason to do so вЂ” that the Big Five summit will turn into the Four Against One summit.
And this вЂњoneвЂќ will not be Russia or even China ...